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한국농업경제학회> 농업경제연구> 온라인 직거래가 농축산물 매출액에 미치는 영향 분석

KCI등재

온라인 직거래가 농축산물 매출액에 미치는 영향 분석

Analysis of the Impact of Online Direct Transactions on Agricultural Products Sales

김성우 ( Kim Seongwoo ) , 주재창 ( Joo Jae-chang ) , 김병률 ( Kim Byungryul ) , 강혜정 ( Kang Hye-jung )
  • : 한국농업경제학회
  • : 농업경제연구 63권1호
  • : 연속간행물
  • : 2022년 03월
  • : 63-80(18pages)
농업경제연구

DOI


목차

Ⅰ. 서 론
Ⅱ. 이용한 자료
Ⅲ. 분석 방법
Ⅳ. 분석결과
Ⅴ. 결론
참고문헌

키워드 보기


초록 보기

This study analyzes the effect of online direct trading on agricultural products sales using raw data from the 2015 Agricultural Census. The ordered Heckman two-stage model was used to analyze the effect of online direct transaction participation on agricultural product sales after limiting the analysis target to farmhouses conducting direct transactions. The results find that the average sales of online direct trading farms based on IT technology were statistically significantly higher than those of offline direct trading farms. The sales of farmhouses conducting e-commerce using the Internet increased by an average of 5.8% compared to other direct sales farms, and the sales of farmhouses using smartphones increased by 4.1% on average compared to other direct sales farms.

UCI(KEPA)

간행물정보

  • : 농학분야  > 농경제
  • : KCI등재
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  • : 계간
  • : 0549-6047
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  • : 학술지
  • : 연속간행물
  • : 1958-2022
  • : 1019


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63권1호(2022년 03월) 수록논문
최근 권호 논문
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KCI등재

1농업보조금의 농업수입 안정화 효과 분석

저자 : 김용준 ( Yongjoon Kim ) , 안동환 ( Donghwan An )

발행기관 : 한국농업경제학회 간행물 : 농업경제연구 63권 1호 발행 연도 : 2022 페이지 : pp. 1-16 (16 pages)

다운로드

(기관인증 필요)

초록보기

In Korea, the stability of agricultural revenue has been an important issue due to risk factors, including climate change. The central and regional government expands agricultural subsidies, which aims to support whole farm income stabilization directly. However, the purpose of agricultural subsidies in Korea includes supplying intermediate goods or enhancing agricultural capital to support an agricultural income, which is the core source of whole farm income. In this paper, we evaluate the effect of agricultural subsidies on agricultural revenue stabilization. This paper utilizes Antle(1987)'s moment-based model to estimate farm households' risk attitude. Moreover, the propensity score matching technique is well defined to evaluate the causal inference between agricultural subsidy receipt and risk premium reduction, estimated from farm households' risk attitude. In the estimation results, the Arrow-Pratt risk aversion coefficient and downside risk aversion coefficient indicate the farm households in Korea are risk-averse and have an incentive to avoid downside risk. Their risk premium and relative risk premium are estimated, ranging from 0.45 106.50(million won), 2.04 84.88%, respectively. This paper finds the risk reduction effect ∼ ∼ of agricultural subsidies on herbal crop and field crop farming. Furthermore, in the estimation of heterogeneous effects according to the agricultural revenue quantile, we have found statistically significant risk reduction effects of agricultural subsidies in the low and middle classes.

KCI등재

2공익직불제의 정책효과 분석: 소득효과와 소득분배 효과를 중심으로

저자 : 김태화 ( Tae-hwa Kim ) , 양승룡 ( Seung-ryong Yang )

발행기관 : 한국농업경제학회 간행물 : 농업경제연구 63권 1호 발행 연도 : 2022 페이지 : pp. 17-42 (26 pages)

다운로드

(기관인증 필요)

초록보기

The purpose of this research is to examine the income and income distributional effects of the public direct payment system that was newly introduced in 2020. The major findings are as follows. First, in terms of income effects under price uncertainty, the results from the Monte Carlo simulation for rice agriculture support that the public direct payment system has positive effects on farm income if the market price is maintained at 176, 515 won/80kg or higher. In the meanwhile, both expected income and income stability of rice farmers were decreased compared to the previous direct payment program.
Second, the analysis of the Gini coefficients for paddy fields show that the public direct payment system has positive effects on income distribution, although to a lesser extent than the previous direct payment scheme. On the other hand, in the case of upland fields, positive results were obtained showing that the public direct payment system leads to a higher income distributional effects than the former counterpart.

KCI등재

3아프리카돼지열병 뉴스감성이 육류 가격에 미치는 영향분석

저자 : 순병민 ( Byung Min Soon ) , 김원성 ( Wonseong Kim )

발행기관 : 한국농업경제학회 간행물 : 농업경제연구 63권 1호 발행 연도 : 2022 페이지 : pp. 43-62 (20 pages)

다운로드

(기관인증 필요)

초록보기

The meat market behavior has been studied typically based on the price and income effect. Recently, unstructured data have been generated from big data analysis. Therefore, our study generates a sentiment index about African Swine Fever(ASF) and estimates the impact of the change in the ASF sentiment index on the Korean meat market. Word2Vec technique, one of the Neural Network Language Model(NNLM), is used to generate the ASF sentiment index. Moreover, we decompose the ASF sentiment index into its positive and negative changes. Using this ASF sentiment index, we build a non-linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag(ARDL) to estimate how the positive and negative ASF sentiment index sensitively causes pork, beef, and chicken prices. The results show that pork and beef prices are more sensitive to the positive ASF sentiment index changes than the negative ASF sentiment index. Our study is the first trial to study the meat market involving sentiment analysis to the best of our knowledge. We expect that developed sentiment analysis will generate animal disease sentiment and help understand the response of animal disease sentiment in the Korean meat market.

KCI등재

4온라인 직거래가 농축산물 매출액에 미치는 영향 분석

저자 : 김성우 ( Kim Seongwoo ) , 주재창 ( Joo Jae-chang ) , 김병률 ( Kim Byungryul ) , 강혜정 ( Kang Hye-jung )

발행기관 : 한국농업경제학회 간행물 : 농업경제연구 63권 1호 발행 연도 : 2022 페이지 : pp. 63-80 (18 pages)

다운로드

(기관인증 필요)

초록보기

This study analyzes the effect of online direct trading on agricultural products sales using raw data from the 2015 Agricultural Census. The ordered Heckman two-stage model was used to analyze the effect of online direct transaction participation on agricultural product sales after limiting the analysis target to farmhouses conducting direct transactions. The results find that the average sales of online direct trading farms based on IT technology were statistically significantly higher than those of offline direct trading farms. The sales of farmhouses conducting e-commerce using the Internet increased by an average of 5.8% compared to other direct sales farms, and the sales of farmhouses using smartphones increased by 4.1% on average compared to other direct sales farms.

KCI등재

5WTO 세계 무역왜곡보조 감축 논의와 시사점

저자 : 김상현 ( Sanghyun Kim ) , 정대희 ( Daehee Chung ) , 문한필 ( Hanpil Moon )

발행기관 : 한국농업경제학회 간행물 : 농업경제연구 63권 1호 발행 연도 : 2022 페이지 : pp. 81-102 (22 pages)

다운로드

(기관인증 필요)

초록보기

In preparation for the 12 th WTO Ministerial Conference (MC12), the Chairperson of the Committee on Agriculture-Special Session (CoASS) proposed a draft text (July 2021) and its amendment (November 2021) in order to derive tangible results in the field of domestic subsidy. It aims to cap and reduce the sum of current global agricultural trade-distorting support (TDDS) entitlements to 50% by 2030. As a result of the simulation using domestic support notification data from 2001 to 2020 of 102 WTO member countries, based on the Chair's texts, two main policy goals are achieved; Proportionality that reduces more in member countries with a larger TDDS entitlements, Progressivity that alleviates the concentration of TDDS on specific countries. However, the entitlements of developed countries decreased by 48.5% while developing countries decreased by 52.6%, indicating that the latter ones are relatively disadvantaged. In case of the Republic of Korea, the basic cap of entitlements in the base year is reduced by only 12.1% in the 8th year of implementation (new cap). Furthermore, the difference between the entitlements and the expenditure will not change significantly. Therefore, the impact of the Chairperson's proposal on domestic agricultural policy is expected to be limited.

KCI등재

6Price Pattern Prediction in the Korean Beef Market

저자 : Kyoungjin Kim , Seonu Ji , Tongjoo Suh

발행기관 : 한국농업경제학회 간행물 : 농업경제연구 63권 1호 발행 연도 : 2022 페이지 : pp. 103-121 (19 pages)

다운로드

(기관인증 필요)

초록보기

Responding to the market has been faster than in the past as the proportion of scaled-up farms has increased. Accordingly, it became more important for the Hanwoo industry to predict the Hanwoo price level and understand the price pattern from a short-term perspective.
In this paper, a price pattern analysis model of Hanwoo was constructed based on the transaction information in the auction market. As a result of the analysis, it is shown that the daily price change rate ranges from 0.87% to 1.59%, and prices - decrease relatively on Monday. Also, the price of Hanwoo was high in January and September, indicating the calendar effect, which refers to a specific price effect that occurs at a specific time. The results of the study imply that the price of Hanwoo is strongly bound by daily and monthly cycles. From a farm's point of view, shipping dates for Hanwoo can be either moved forward or postponed, allowing variable selections within a short period, and decision-making on the slaughter of Hanwoo at a short-term level can change on a daily basis. The information derived from this study can be used as a basis for decision making.

1
권호별 보기
같은 권호 다른 논문
| | | | 다운로드

KCI등재

1농업보조금의 농업수입 안정화 효과 분석

저자 : 김용준 ( Yongjoon Kim ) , 안동환 ( Donghwan An )

발행기관 : 한국농업경제학회 간행물 : 농업경제연구 63권 1호 발행 연도 : 2022 페이지 : pp. 1-16 (16 pages)

다운로드

(기관인증 필요)

초록보기

In Korea, the stability of agricultural revenue has been an important issue due to risk factors, including climate change. The central and regional government expands agricultural subsidies, which aims to support whole farm income stabilization directly. However, the purpose of agricultural subsidies in Korea includes supplying intermediate goods or enhancing agricultural capital to support an agricultural income, which is the core source of whole farm income. In this paper, we evaluate the effect of agricultural subsidies on agricultural revenue stabilization. This paper utilizes Antle(1987)'s moment-based model to estimate farm households' risk attitude. Moreover, the propensity score matching technique is well defined to evaluate the causal inference between agricultural subsidy receipt and risk premium reduction, estimated from farm households' risk attitude. In the estimation results, the Arrow-Pratt risk aversion coefficient and downside risk aversion coefficient indicate the farm households in Korea are risk-averse and have an incentive to avoid downside risk. Their risk premium and relative risk premium are estimated, ranging from 0.45 106.50(million won), 2.04 84.88%, respectively. This paper finds the risk reduction effect ∼ ∼ of agricultural subsidies on herbal crop and field crop farming. Furthermore, in the estimation of heterogeneous effects according to the agricultural revenue quantile, we have found statistically significant risk reduction effects of agricultural subsidies in the low and middle classes.

KCI등재

2공익직불제의 정책효과 분석: 소득효과와 소득분배 효과를 중심으로

저자 : 김태화 ( Tae-hwa Kim ) , 양승룡 ( Seung-ryong Yang )

발행기관 : 한국농업경제학회 간행물 : 농업경제연구 63권 1호 발행 연도 : 2022 페이지 : pp. 17-42 (26 pages)

다운로드

(기관인증 필요)

초록보기

The purpose of this research is to examine the income and income distributional effects of the public direct payment system that was newly introduced in 2020. The major findings are as follows. First, in terms of income effects under price uncertainty, the results from the Monte Carlo simulation for rice agriculture support that the public direct payment system has positive effects on farm income if the market price is maintained at 176, 515 won/80kg or higher. In the meanwhile, both expected income and income stability of rice farmers were decreased compared to the previous direct payment program.
Second, the analysis of the Gini coefficients for paddy fields show that the public direct payment system has positive effects on income distribution, although to a lesser extent than the previous direct payment scheme. On the other hand, in the case of upland fields, positive results were obtained showing that the public direct payment system leads to a higher income distributional effects than the former counterpart.

KCI등재

3아프리카돼지열병 뉴스감성이 육류 가격에 미치는 영향분석

저자 : 순병민 ( Byung Min Soon ) , 김원성 ( Wonseong Kim )

발행기관 : 한국농업경제학회 간행물 : 농업경제연구 63권 1호 발행 연도 : 2022 페이지 : pp. 43-62 (20 pages)

다운로드

(기관인증 필요)

초록보기

The meat market behavior has been studied typically based on the price and income effect. Recently, unstructured data have been generated from big data analysis. Therefore, our study generates a sentiment index about African Swine Fever(ASF) and estimates the impact of the change in the ASF sentiment index on the Korean meat market. Word2Vec technique, one of the Neural Network Language Model(NNLM), is used to generate the ASF sentiment index. Moreover, we decompose the ASF sentiment index into its positive and negative changes. Using this ASF sentiment index, we build a non-linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag(ARDL) to estimate how the positive and negative ASF sentiment index sensitively causes pork, beef, and chicken prices. The results show that pork and beef prices are more sensitive to the positive ASF sentiment index changes than the negative ASF sentiment index. Our study is the first trial to study the meat market involving sentiment analysis to the best of our knowledge. We expect that developed sentiment analysis will generate animal disease sentiment and help understand the response of animal disease sentiment in the Korean meat market.

KCI등재

4온라인 직거래가 농축산물 매출액에 미치는 영향 분석

저자 : 김성우 ( Kim Seongwoo ) , 주재창 ( Joo Jae-chang ) , 김병률 ( Kim Byungryul ) , 강혜정 ( Kang Hye-jung )

발행기관 : 한국농업경제학회 간행물 : 농업경제연구 63권 1호 발행 연도 : 2022 페이지 : pp. 63-80 (18 pages)

다운로드

(기관인증 필요)

초록보기

This study analyzes the effect of online direct trading on agricultural products sales using raw data from the 2015 Agricultural Census. The ordered Heckman two-stage model was used to analyze the effect of online direct transaction participation on agricultural product sales after limiting the analysis target to farmhouses conducting direct transactions. The results find that the average sales of online direct trading farms based on IT technology were statistically significantly higher than those of offline direct trading farms. The sales of farmhouses conducting e-commerce using the Internet increased by an average of 5.8% compared to other direct sales farms, and the sales of farmhouses using smartphones increased by 4.1% on average compared to other direct sales farms.

KCI등재

5WTO 세계 무역왜곡보조 감축 논의와 시사점

저자 : 김상현 ( Sanghyun Kim ) , 정대희 ( Daehee Chung ) , 문한필 ( Hanpil Moon )

발행기관 : 한국농업경제학회 간행물 : 농업경제연구 63권 1호 발행 연도 : 2022 페이지 : pp. 81-102 (22 pages)

다운로드

(기관인증 필요)

초록보기

In preparation for the 12 th WTO Ministerial Conference (MC12), the Chairperson of the Committee on Agriculture-Special Session (CoASS) proposed a draft text (July 2021) and its amendment (November 2021) in order to derive tangible results in the field of domestic subsidy. It aims to cap and reduce the sum of current global agricultural trade-distorting support (TDDS) entitlements to 50% by 2030. As a result of the simulation using domestic support notification data from 2001 to 2020 of 102 WTO member countries, based on the Chair's texts, two main policy goals are achieved; Proportionality that reduces more in member countries with a larger TDDS entitlements, Progressivity that alleviates the concentration of TDDS on specific countries. However, the entitlements of developed countries decreased by 48.5% while developing countries decreased by 52.6%, indicating that the latter ones are relatively disadvantaged. In case of the Republic of Korea, the basic cap of entitlements in the base year is reduced by only 12.1% in the 8th year of implementation (new cap). Furthermore, the difference between the entitlements and the expenditure will not change significantly. Therefore, the impact of the Chairperson's proposal on domestic agricultural policy is expected to be limited.

KCI등재

6Price Pattern Prediction in the Korean Beef Market

저자 : Kyoungjin Kim , Seonu Ji , Tongjoo Suh

발행기관 : 한국농업경제학회 간행물 : 농업경제연구 63권 1호 발행 연도 : 2022 페이지 : pp. 103-121 (19 pages)

다운로드

(기관인증 필요)

초록보기

Responding to the market has been faster than in the past as the proportion of scaled-up farms has increased. Accordingly, it became more important for the Hanwoo industry to predict the Hanwoo price level and understand the price pattern from a short-term perspective.
In this paper, a price pattern analysis model of Hanwoo was constructed based on the transaction information in the auction market. As a result of the analysis, it is shown that the daily price change rate ranges from 0.87% to 1.59%, and prices - decrease relatively on Monday. Also, the price of Hanwoo was high in January and September, indicating the calendar effect, which refers to a specific price effect that occurs at a specific time. The results of the study imply that the price of Hanwoo is strongly bound by daily and monthly cycles. From a farm's point of view, shipping dates for Hanwoo can be either moved forward or postponed, allowing variable selections within a short period, and decision-making on the slaughter of Hanwoo at a short-term level can change on a daily basis. The information derived from this study can be used as a basis for decision making.

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