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한국축산경영학회> 농업경영·정책연구> 기후변화와 이상기후가 열대과일 수입에 미치는 영향 분석

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기후변화와 이상기후가 열대과일 수입에 미치는 영향 분석

Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change and Abnormal Climate on Tropical Fruit Imports

전무경 ( Mu Gyeong Jeon ) , 노호영 ( Ho Young Rho ) , 김태영 ( Taeyoung Kim )
  • : 한국축산경영학회
  • : 농업경영·정책연구 49권1호
  • : 연속간행물
  • : 2022년 03월
  • : 57-88(32pages)
농업경영·정책연구

DOI


목차

Ⅰ. 서 론
Ⅱ. 선행연구 검토
Ⅲ. 열대과일 수입실적 및 주요 기후요인 변수
Ⅳ. 연구 방법
Ⅴ. 분석결과
Ⅵ. 요약 및 결론
참 고 문 헌

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초록 보기

This study aims to measure whether climate change and abnormal climate affect agricultural product imports, focusing on tropical fruit crops. A panel gravity model based on import performance in the form of 'multiple origins to single destination' was constructed to analyze the fruit imports from major importing countries to Korea from 1996 to 2018. Methodologies verified in other previous studies, such as the panel tobit model proposed in the study, the panel Poisson model, and the Poisson pseudo-most likelihood estimation method, were used. As the increase in temperature at the origin had a negative effect on the import of tropical fruits in Korea, and the increase in precipitation at the origin also had a negative effect on the import of tropical fruits. The higher the intensity of the abnormal climate at the starting point, the more negatively the import of tropical fruits in Korea was. Among the natural disasters at the origin, drought negatively affected the import of tropical fruits, and the natural disasters at the rest of the origin did not significantly affect the imports of tropical fruits.

UCI(KEPA)

간행물정보

  • : 농학분야  > 농경제
  • : KCI등재
  • :
  • : 계간
  • : 1229-9154
  • :
  • : 학술지
  • : 연속간행물
  • : 1985-2022
  • : 1054


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This study estimates the willingness to pay (WTP) for Korean Geobong and Shine Musket and discusses the possibility of exporting them to Thailand. In the case of providing no information, the estimate of the average WTP for Korean Geobong is 731.8Bhat. With the information provided, it is 790.6Bhat, which increased to 58.8Bhat (8.0%). In the absence of information on Korean Shine Muscat, the estimate of the average WTP is 1,019.9Bhat. With the information given, it is 1,140.0Bhat, which increased to 120.1Bhat (11.8%). As the result of the changes in WTP by separating consumers from the awareness levels toward Korean Geobong and Shine Muscat, both show much information value in the low awareness group with the high awareness group compared. Based on the empirical results of this study, marketing strategies that provide information on Korean products could increase the Thai consumers' demand for Korean grapes.

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저자 : 전상곤 ( Sanggon Jeon )

발행기관 : 한국축산경영학회 간행물 : 농업경영·정책연구 49권 1호 발행 연도 : 2022 페이지 : pp. 134-155 (22 pages)

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Since the Free Trade Agreement (FTA) with the EU was signed in 2011, the domestic dairy market has become more open. As a result, imports of dairy products increased sharply and the domestic raw-milk self-sufficiency rate fell below 50%. Due to stagnating domestic demand for raw-milk caused by increasing imported dairy products, low birth rates, and environmental problems, the problem of oversupply of domestic raw-milk is emerging. The current price and quota system in domestic raw-milk market has many limitations in solving this supply and demand imbalance problem. In this study, this problem was approached from two aspects to solve the supply and demand imbalance facing the domestic dairy industry. As an approach to solving the problem, one is to look at the domestic dairy market from the perspective of supply and demand balance, and the other is to look at the asymmetric aspect of bargaining power due to the oligopolistic market structure. The approach to solving the problem has been summarized by improving supply and demand balance and competitiveness, compensating farmers' income, and resolving asymmetry in bargaining power for various issues currently discussed.

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