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한국시스템다이내믹스학회> 한국시스템다이내믹스 연구

한국시스템다이내믹스 연구 update

Korean System Dynamics Review

  • : 한국시스템다이내믹스학회
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수록정보
수록범위 : 1권1호(2000)~23권3호(2022) |수록논문 수 : 433
한국시스템다이내믹스 연구
23권3호(2022년 09월) 수록논문
최근 권호 논문
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KCI등재

저자 : 전대욱 ( Jeon Dae Uk )

발행기관 : 한국시스템다이내믹스학회 간행물 : 한국시스템다이내믹스 연구 23권 3호 발행 연도 : 2022 페이지 : pp. 5-29 (25 pages)

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This study is conducting a System Dynamics analysis for the long-term economic growth outlook for the ultra-regional area of Busan, Ulsan, and Gyeongsangnam-do. The three regional governments have been preparing to launch special local governments in January 2023 toward a global mega-city, and plan to invest about 23 trillion won in public and private sectors with 100 projects in 16 fields by 2027. The development plan presents a vision such as GRDP of about 491 trillion won, population of 10 million, and the establishment of an one-hour living area in the ultra-wide area by 2040.
This study analyzes whether or not this vision is achieved. A simple System Dynamics model is considered based on the macroeconomic theory of endogenous growth, and economic growth forecasts until 2040 were derived through quantitative simulations based on various regional economic statistics. As a result, it is suggested that if the above investment plan is continuously and gradually increased, the goal of achieving GRDP in the ultra-regional area is visible, but additional review is needed on the target of population growth.

KCI등재

저자 : 이견직 ( Lee Kyun Jick ) , 정윤 ( Chung Yoon )

발행기관 : 한국시스템다이내믹스학회 간행물 : 한국시스템다이내믹스 연구 23권 3호 발행 연도 : 2022 페이지 : pp. 31-60 (30 pages)

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The goal of this study is to explore the urban dynamics on the resilience of regional attractiveness to COVID-19 based on Jeonju City. System Dynamics is used as a research methodology created by Professor MIT J. Forrester and is reconstructed based on his urban dynamic model. The main variables and input values used in the model are based on the data of the general accounting expenditure table related to Jeonju city, focusing on the policy experiments in the economy, society, residential, and environmental sectors as a whole, and the values of each variable are 2011-2017. A total of five scenarios, including one example scenario, are dynamically searched for urban recovery due to the disaster. The main study shows that if the level of disaster is weak and middle level, the time required to recover is 4 and 8 years respectively, and in the case of strong levels, it is not easy to recover. It should be noted that when the disaster level is unexpectedly strong, the recovery period may be in a state of turmoil that cannot be explored. The COVID-19 pandemic has made us seriously consider a shift in the paradigm of “people-centered” sustainable development that breaks away from fetishism through coexistence rather than competition.

KCI등재

저자 : 최경희 ( Choi Kyunghee ) , 임효숙 ( Yim Hyosook )

발행기관 : 한국시스템다이내믹스학회 간행물 : 한국시스템다이내믹스 연구 23권 3호 발행 연도 : 2022 페이지 : pp. 61-83 (23 pages)

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The purpose of this study is to analyze the purpose and system of university assessment in Korea through systems thinking and to draw improvements and implications for university assessment based on the analysis results. For this purpose, previous studies related to domestic and foreign university assessment were reviewed, and the relationship between characteristics of university organization, university assessment, and the external environment was expressed as causal loop diagrams.
Also, the limitations of university assessment, especially shown in the assessment of local universities, were analyzed and improvements were considered through the case of an A local private university that received the lowest grade in the university competency assessment in 2019.
Through this study, if a local university in a similar situation analyzes the internal competency of the university as causal loop diagrams and solves the problem from systems thinking, it is expected that it will respond flexibly to external assessment and have insight for sustainable university management.

KCI등재

저자 : 김두환 ( Kim Doohwan ) , 조철수 ( Jo Chulsu ) , 이재우 ( Lee Jae Woo )

발행기관 : 한국시스템다이내믹스학회 간행물 : 한국시스템다이내믹스 연구 23권 3호 발행 연도 : 2022 페이지 : pp. 85-108 (24 pages)

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Unemployment is a macroeconomic indicator that reflects productivity changes and employment status in the labor market. In fact, the unemployment rate is defined in the relationship of non-linear population dynamics in which the number of unemployed and employed, and the number of job seekers and jobs are affected by macroeconomic influences. This paper investigates the unemployment dynamics by establishing an unemployment rate model based on the SIR (Susceptible-Infected- Recovered) model as a system dynamics method. The unemployment model of this study is built on the basis of actual data values from 1990 to 2019, and as a result of the simulation, this model can verify the validity of the working-age population, the economically active population, the unemployed and the employed, all showing similar trends with the actual data values. In the unemployment model of system dynamics, the trend of economic growth reflects the characteristics of the unemployment rate.

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