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An Application of a Discounted Kelly Criterion to the Korean Professional Baseball League
( Gyutai Kim ) , ( Changhyun Kim )
UCI I410-ECN-151-24-02-088630919

This paper discusses a discounted Kelly criterion and its application to the Korean Professional Baseball League. As a result of the research, it is found that the time value of money does not significantly affect the expected exponential growth rate when the time horizon is short, e.g., one month or less. However, when the horizon is long, the time value should be considered in determining the optimal Kelly betting ratio. We present an example of the discounted Kelly criterion based on the Korean Professional Baseball Championship in 2004. Many of the results differ from those of the traditional approach.

1. Introduction
2. Maximizing Expected Returns and the Kelly Criterion
3. Discounted Kelly Criterion
4. Numerical Example
5. Concluding Remarks
Acknowledgement
References
[자료제공 : 네이버학술정보]
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