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The Legacy of Pro-Democracy Mass Protest and Democratic Survival: A Cross-National Survival Analysis from 1946 to 2016
( Jeongho Choi ) , ( Byung-deuk Woo )
사회과학연구 29권 2호 76-125(50pages)
UCI I410-ECN-0102-2022-300-000930317

Why do some democratic countries experience democratic breakdown, while others endure? Even though various potential factors behind democratic breakdown or survival have been widely examined, we still cannot fully explain the different fates of democratic regimes. This article sheds light on the role of the legacy of pro-democracy mass protest during the transition period in democratic survival of democratic regimes. Using cross-national time-series data on 135 democratic regimes in 103 democratic countries and the Cox Proportional Hazard model, we demonstrate that the legacy of prodemocracy mass protest decreases the hazard rate of democratic breakdown. This relationship is consistently robust in alternative model specifications. Moreover, our empirical results indicate that nonviolent pro-democracy mass protests compared to violent ones exert much more substantive deterrent impacts on democratic breakdown.

Ⅰ. Introduction
Ⅱ. POTENTIAL DETERMINANTS OF DEMOCRATIC BREAKDOWN
Ⅲ. THE LEGACY OF PRO-DEMOCRACY PROTEST AND THE DETERRENCE OF DEMOCRATIC BREAKDOWN
Ⅳ. EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS
Ⅴ. CONCLUSION AND DISCUSSION
Reference
[자료제공 : 네이버학술정보]
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