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철도여객수요예측을 위한 Holt-Winters모형의 초기값 설정방법 비교
An Empirical Comparison among Initialization Methods of Holt-Winters Model for Railway Passenger Demand Forecast
최태성 ( Tae Sung Choi ) , 김성호 ( Seong Ho Kim )
UCI I410-ECN-0102-2009-550-002479862
* 발행 기관의 요청으로 이용이 불가한 자료입니다.

Railway passenger demand forecasts may be used directly, or as inputs to other optimization models use them to produce estimates of other activities. The optimization models require demand forecasts at the most detailed level. In this environment exponential smoothing forecasting methods such as Holt-Winters are appropriate because it is simple and inexpensive in terms of computation. There are several initialization methods for Holt-Winters Model. The purpose of this paper is to compare the initialization methods for Holt-Winters Model.

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